After last week's cagey first leg, we anticipate another tight contest on Wednesday, which could be decided by a single goal.
With confidence after holding their opponents away from home, Petrocub Hincesti may come in with a slight edge, and we back them to make home advantage count and progress to the second round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Petrocub Hincesti in this match.
0.53) 
-0.64) 
