Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Decic1 - 1New Saints
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Decic
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Champions League
We said: Decic 1-3 The New Saints (TNS win 6-1 on aggregate)
Although Decic performed impressively over the course of last season, it is difficult to see how they can overcome the 3-0 deficit. Additionally, coming off the back of a rampant campaign last term, The New Saints should be strong favourites heading into Tuesday's clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Decic had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Decic win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Decic | Draw | The New Saints |
27.27% ( 13.93) | 24.31% ( 6.42) | 48.42% ( -20.35) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( -9.19) | 46.08% ( 9.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( -9.32) | 68.38% ( 9.32) |
Decic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( 9) | 30.67% ( -8.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( 9.42) | 66.92% ( -9.42) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -9.37) | 19.11% ( 9.38) |