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Champions League header

Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom

Decic
1 - 1
New Saints

Kajevic (72')
Bajovic (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (43' pen.)
Redmond (45'), Daniels (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Decic and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Decic

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Decic
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

The New Saints

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Decic
Tuesday, July 9 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Decic 1-3 The New Saints (TNS win 6-1 on aggregate)

 Although Decic performed impressively over the course of last season, it is difficult to see how they can overcome the 3-0 deficit. Additionally, coming off the back of a rampant campaign last term, The New Saints should be strong favourites heading into Tuesday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Decic had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Decic win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
DecicDrawThe New Saints
27.27% (13.928 13.93) 24.31% (6.421 6.42) 48.42% (-20.347 -20.35)
Both teams to score 56.07% (1.619 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (-9.193 -9.19)46.08% (9.196 9.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (-9.316 -9.32)68.38% (9.32 9.32)
Decic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (8.996 9)30.67% (-8.993 -8.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (9.423 9.42)66.92% (-9.421 -9.42)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-9.373 -9.37)19.11% (9.375 9.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-18.318 -18.32)50.74% (18.32 18.32)
Score Analysis
    Decic 27.27%
    The New Saints 48.42%
    Draw 24.31%
DecicDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.93% (3.356 3.36)
2-1 @ 6.77% (2.928 2.93)
2-0 @ 4.09% (2.443 2.44)
3-1 @ 2.67% (1.484 1.48)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.828 0.83)
3-0 @ 1.61% (1.104 1.1)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 27.27%
1-1 @ 11.46% (3.141 3.14)
0-0 @ 5.86% (1.999 2)
2-2 @ 5.61% (1.126 1.13)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.703 0.7)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-2.443 -2.44)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-2.288 -2.29)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-3.706 -3.71)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.385 -0.39)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-2.214 -2.21)
0-4 @ 1.83% (-2.904 -2.9)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.746 -0.75)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 48.42%

How you voted: Decic vs New Saints

Decic
13.0%
Draw
10.9%
The New Saints
76.1%
46
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
New Saints
3-0
Decic
Young (4', 28'), Davies (39')
Davies (81'), Roberts (84')

Ujkaj (22'), Matic (45')
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