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Europa League
Ludogorets
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
4 - 0
Petrocub

Duah (23'), Seco (59'), Almeida (90+1', 90+4')
Piotrowski (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Platica (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Petrocub Hincesti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
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Petrocub Hincesti

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Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Petrocub
Tuesday, August 13 at 6.30pm in Europa League
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We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Petrocub Hincesti

 After the embarrassing nature of their exit from the Champions League earlier in the month, Ludogorets should be raring to put Petrocub to the sword on Thursday night. The Hincesti Lions did well to keep a clean sheet in both matches against The New Saints, but the attack of the Eagles is likely to prove too strong for the visitors to Huvepharma Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPetrocub Hincesti
73.57%16.33%10.1%
Both teams to score 48.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58%38.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29%60.71%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99%9.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31%30.69%
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8%46.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13%81.87%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 73.56%
    Petrocub Hincesti 10.1%
    Draw 16.33%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPetrocub Hincesti
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.01%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 5.82%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.74%
6-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 73.56%
1-1 @ 7.74%
0-0 @ 4.16%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 16.33%
0-1 @ 3.21%
1-2 @ 2.99%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.1%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Petrocub

Ludogorets Razgrad
83.6%
Draw
13.7%
Petrocub Hincesti
2.7%
73
rhs 2.0
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