We said: Viking FK 2-0 Sligo Rovers
Given the manner of their victory over Motherwell, Sligo Rovers cannot be ruled out of this contest. However, there is a feeling that they are making a step up in class, and Viking will be particularly confident about controlling the home leg and earning a relatively comfortable win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.