We said: Rapid Vienna 2-1 Vitesse
With both sides keen to bounce back to form while looking to avoid a harmful defeat in the first leg, we expect this to be a cagey encounter.
We do, however, give the Austrian giants a slight advantage, given their quality and the need to pick up a result on home turf before they travel to the Netherlands.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rapid Vienna in this match.