Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium, Wincham
Magpies2 - 0Derry
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Magpies | Draw | Derry City |
20.13% ( 0.03) | 23.31% ( 0) | 56.56% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( 0.03) | 48.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.06% ( 0.03) | 70.94% ( -0.03) |
Magpies Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% ( 0.05) | 38.56% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% ( 0.05) | 75.3% ( -0.05) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -0) | 17.06% ( -0) |