UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Europa Park Stadion

Magpies
vs.
Derry

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magpies

Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Derry 5-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: Sligo vs. Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Magpies has a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Magpies win it is 1-0 (6.03%).

Result
Magpies	Draw	Derry City
20.68% ( 0.81)	22.98% ( 0.35)	56.34% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 52.85% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

-0.42)

46.75% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

-0.4)

69.01% (

0.39)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

0.6)

36.79% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

0.59)

73.58% (

-0.59)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

-0.54)

16.39% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

-0.99)

46.04% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Magpies 20.68%

Derry City 56.34%

Draw 22.97%

Magpies	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.68%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.34%