Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk3 - 1Magpies
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Dundalk and Magpies.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Magpies 0-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Magpies 0-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Magpies win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Magpies |
62.91% ( -0.11) | 20.57% ( 0.03) | 16.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0) | 42.61% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.01) | 65.01% ( 0) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.03) | 12.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.61% ( -0.07) | 39.39% ( 0.06) |
| Magpies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( 0.09) | 39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.27% ( 0.08) | 75.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Dundalk 62.9%
Magpies 16.52%
Draw 20.57%
| Dundalk | Draw | Magpies |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.9% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.52% |
How you voted: Dundalk vs Magpies
Dundalk
87.5%Draw
0.0%Magpies
12.5%8
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Magpies
0-0
Dundalk
Hankins (55'), Manuel Martinez Oliver (58'), Coombes (59'), Diaz (76'), Silva (90+5')
Lewis (83')
