Galway may be sitting below their opponents in the league table, but they have already shown that they can compete with Derry in their previous two meetings this season. While we think a win may be a stretch too far, we believe that the visitors will do enough to take a point from Friday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Galway United
52.02% ( -0.05)	26.56% ( -0.01)	21.42% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 43.59% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

0.07)

59.52% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

0.05)

79.87% (

-0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

0.01)

23.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

0.01)

56.89% (

-0.02)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.65% (

0.1)

43.34% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

0.08)

79.58% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Derry City 52.01%

Galway United 21.42%

Draw 26.56%

Derry City	Draw	Galway United
1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 21.42%