MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 19:00:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Drogheda United

Derry
5 - 1
Drogheda

Dummigan (6'), Patching (30' pen.), Kelly (57'), Hoban (67'), Coll (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Foley (26')
Foley (29'), Weir (30'), Pierrot (42'), Keaney (82'), O'Brien (82')
Pierrot (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Drogheda United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Bohemians 1-2 Derry
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 3-0 Drogheda
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Derry City 2-0 Drogheda United

 Drogheda have held Derry to draws in two of the last three league meetings between the two sides, but we are struggling to look past the hosts here. Drogheda have struggled on their travels this term, while Derry have the division's best home record, and we are expecting a routine two-goal success for the Red and Whites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawDrogheda United
74.89% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 17.36% (0.023 0.02) 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
Both teams to score 35.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)11.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)37.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)59.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.66% (0.026999999999999 0.03)90.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 74.88%
    Drogheda United 7.75%
    Draw 17.36%
Derry CityDrawDrogheda United
2-0 @ 16.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.04%
3-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 74.88%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 17.36%
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 7.75%

How you voted: Derry vs Drogheda

Derry City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Drogheda United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Drogheda
2-2
Derry
Davis (3'), Pierrot (86')
Webster (58'), Doherty (59'), McNally (83'), Keaney (90+5')
Duffy (29'), Patching (45+1')
Feb 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Derry
2-1
Drogheda
Boyce (46'), Hoban (63')
McMullan (54')
Weir (67')
Pierrot (17'), Weir (53'), Keaney (71'), Cann (81')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Drogheda
0-0
Derry
Robinson (10'), Doherty (19'), Keeley (85')
Keeley (90+3')
O'Reilly (30')
Aug 13, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Derry
3-0
Drogheda
McEneff (41'), McGonigle (85'), Duffy (88')
O'Reilly (54')

Brennan (48')
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Drogheda
0-1
Derry
O'Reilly (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!