UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 5
Szczecin

Finlayson (55'), Hall (80')
Clarke (13'), Cooper (45+1'), McClean (57'), Hall (88'), Robertson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Grosicki (14' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Malec (63'), Koulouris (66'), Fornalczyk (90+5')
Gamboa (69'), Wahlqvist (86'), Loncar (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Vllaznia Shkoder 1-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Brondby 4-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Ballymena	0	nan
2	Carrick	0	nan
3	Cliftonville	0	nan
4	Coleraine	0	nan
5	Crusaders	0	nan
6	Dungannon	0	nan
7	Glenavon	0	nan
8	Glentoran	0	nan
9	Larne	0	nan
10	Linfield	0	nan
11	Loughgall	0	nan
12	Newry City AFC	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
31.48% ( -0.01)	26.53% ( 0)	41.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

-0.01)

53.27% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.01)

74.83% (

0.01)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

-0.02)

31.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

-0.02)

67.7% (

0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92%

25.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23%

59.77% (

Score Analysis

Linfield 31.48%

Pogon Szczecin 41.99%

Draw 26.53%

Linfield	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.99%