Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for KR Reykjavik had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest KR Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	KR Reykjavik
45.11% ( 0)	23.53% ( 0.01)	31.36% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.52% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

-0.03)

40.11% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.52% (

-0.04)

62.48% (

0.03)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

-0.01)

18.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96% (

-0.02)

49.03% (

0.02)

KR Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

-0.02)

24.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5% (

-0.03)

59.5% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 45.11%

KR Reykjavik 31.36%

Draw 23.53%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	KR Reykjavik
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 45.11%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 7.45% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.36%