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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Heracles |
51.2% | 24.63% | 24.16% |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.08% | 49.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.09% | 71.91% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.51% | 19.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.64% | 51.36% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.72% | 35.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% | 72.03% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |