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[monks data]
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
Heracles Almelo

NEC
0 - 0
Heracles


Tavsan (45+1')
FT

Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')

Preview: NEC vs. Heracles - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

NEC welcome Heracles to the Goffertstadion on Saturday with their sights set on recording a third league victory on the trot.

Meanwhile, Heracles will be looking to exact revenge on this weekend's opponents following a 1-0 defeat in August's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Heracles had to settle for a share of the spoils in their final outing of 2021 on December 22 when they played out a 1-1 draw against Cambuur.

Frank Wormuth's men trailed to Michael Breij's opener just before the hour mark before restoring parity 13 minutes from time thanks to Orestis Kiomourtzoglou.

The Heraclieden currently sit 13th in the Eredivisie table with 18 points from as many outings so far in what has been a largely underwhelming campaign.

Having failed to beat any of the newly-promoted sides, the Almelo-based outfit have it all to do against an opposing outfit who have won each of the most recent meetings between the sides.

Saturday's visitors are also yet to pick up an away victory from eight outings on the road this term and now is as good a time as any to break that duck.

NEC claimed a third consecutive away triumph across all competitions by beating Willem II 2-1 on December 22.

Magnus Mattsson broke the deadlock seven minutes from half time to get the job done for Rogier Meijer's men in Tilburg.

Consequently, the Eniesee have moved up to ninth place in the standings and are now just four points off the Twente in the race for the last European spot.

However, their home form has been disappointing to say the least, with only eight of 25 points coming in home matches, and that is an area Saturday's hosts will be aiming to improve on in the second half of the season.

NEC Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

NEC form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Heracles form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Jonathan Okita and Pedro Ruiz remain sidelined and will not feature for NEC this weekend.

The duo are joined on the treatment table by Mathias de Wolf and Edgar Barreto, who continue to nurse ankle and hamstring injuries respectively.

Heracles will make the journey to Nijmegen missing the services of Elias Oubella and Kasper Jakobsen through knee problems.

Rai Vloet has missed the last eight games due to personal reasons, but the 26-year-old could make his return to action in this one.

NEC possible starting lineup:
Branderhorst; Odenthal, Marquez, Guth; Verdonk, Proper, Schone, Van Rooy; Mattsson, Bruijn, Tavsan

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Quagliata, Knoester, Rente, Fadiga; Schoofs, De la Torre, Kiomourtzoglou; Laursen, Basacikoglu, Sierhuis


SM words green background

We say: NEC 2-1 Heracles

Heracles have been in poor form of late, and NEC will be keen to heap more misery on their visitors this weekend. We fancy the home side to come away with all three points in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: NEC vs Heracles

NEC
67.6%
Draw
29.4%
Heracles
2.9%
34
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