Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
