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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Intility Arena

Valerenga
2 - 3
Sandefjord

Jatta (52'), Strand (90')
Bjordal (61'), Borchgrevink (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ottosson (63'), Al-Saed (72'), Nyenetue (90+4')
Nyenetue (75'), Nilsson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-1 Valerenga
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Valerenga Fotball 2-1 Sandefjord

Valerenga have been struggling massively of late at their Oslo home, but a Norwegian Cup victory over Brann earlier this month hinted that Norne's side can impress in front of their own supporters. In the Eliteserien, Sandefjord are leaking goals - which often points towards relegation - and we expect the visitors to narrowly lose out at the Intility Arena on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
66.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 15.37% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.14400000000001 0.14)35.14% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (0.16099999999999 0.16)57.15% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.9% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)32.79% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (0.057999999999993 0.06)35.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.059000000000001 0.06)72.57% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 66.13%
    Sandefjord 15.37%
    Draw 18.5%
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.37%

How you voted: Valerenga vs Sandefjord

Valerenga Fotball
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Sandefjord
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Valerenga
4-0
Sandefjord
Layouni (36', 45+2'), Christensen (79'), Eng (84')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 5
Sandefjord
1-3
Valerenga
Ruud Tveter (74')
Risan Mork (19'), Kurtovic (45+1'), Haakenstad (67')
Taaje (9' og.), Donnum (32'), Orn Kjartansson (51')
Christensen (83')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Sandefjord
3-0
Valerenga
Kurtovic (43'), Jensen (60' og.), Gudjonsson (74')

Zuta (55')
May 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Valerenga
3-1
Sandefjord
Tollas (39'), Layouni (61'), Donnum (70' pen.)
Donnum (64')
Moen Foss (67')
Moen Foss (28'), Vales (64'), Erik Odegaard (71')
Oct 18, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Sandefjord
0-3
Valerenga

Kreuzriegler (78'), Wembangomo (90+1')
Orn Kjartansson (20', 68'), Donnum (88')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SK BrannBrann28177453302358
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt28168464293556
3Viking FKViking FK28158555371853
4MoldeMolde28147762342849
5RosenborgRosenborg2815494738949
6Fredrikstad2812973735245
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset2898113138-735
8KFUM OsloKFUM28810103234-234
9HamKam2889113436-233
10Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2896134053-1333
11SandefjordSandefjord2887133845-731
12KristiansundKristiansund28710113040-1031
13Tromso ILTromso2886143142-1130
14FK HaugesundHaugesund2886142640-1430
15Lillestrom2873183155-2424
16Odd2858152550-2523


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