Stromsgodset would have been disappointed to see their impressive winning streak come to an end last time out, but there is no shame in losing to Brann based on current form. Rosenborg returned to winning ways but they received an element of good fortune with their opponents being reduced to 10-men, and we are yet to be convinced that they have turned a corner. We can envisage a narrow home win at Marienlyst Stadion on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.

Result
Stromsgodset	Draw	Rosenborg
30.91% ( 0.16)	23.67% ( -0.06)	45.42% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 60.8% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04% (

0.35)

40.95% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.65% (

0.36)

63.34% (

-0.36)

Stromsgodset Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.27)

25.58% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

0.37)

60.45% (

-0.37)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

0.1)

18.3% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61% (

0.17)

49.38% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Stromsgodset 30.91%

Rosenborg 45.42%

Draw 23.66%

Stromsgodset	Draw	Rosenborg
2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.91%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 45.42%