Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.