Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 22
Sep 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg3 - 1Lillestrom
Johan Christiansen (32', 40'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (75')
Haug (88')
Haug (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lehne Olsen (63')
Garnas (26'), Ibrahimaj (73')
Garnas (26'), Ibrahimaj (73')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Lillestrom.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brann 1-0 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
45.22% ( 0.24) | 23.01% ( -0.13) | 31.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
