Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Aalesund	Draw	Lillestrom
24.06% ( 0.24)	23.02% ( -0.15)	52.92% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.9% (

0.91)

43.1% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.5% (

0.89)

65.5% (

-0.9)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

0.7)

31.64% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

0.8)

68.05% (

-0.81)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71% (

0.29)

16.29% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.15% (

0.53)

45.85% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Aalesund 24.06%

Lillestrom 52.92%

Draw 23.02%

Aalesund	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 24.06%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.92%