Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior3 - 2MVV
Fini (35'), van Duinen (87' pen.), Armantrading (90+2')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and MVV Maastricht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roda JC 3-0 Excelsior
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: MVV 2-0 VVV-Venlo
Sunday, October 13 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, October 13 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
69.61% ( -0.66) | 16.59% ( 0.19) | 13.79% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
