Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
