Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
