Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
