Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 0-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.