Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.