Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	MVV Maastricht
66.55% ( 0.1)	18.19% ( -0.02)	15.26% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.14% (

-0.05)

33.87% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.29% (

-0.05)

55.71% (

0.06)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.55% (

0.02)

9.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.26% (

0.03)

31.74% (

-0.02)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

-0.12)

35.12% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

-0.13)

71.87% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 66.55%

MVV Maastricht 15.26%

Draw 18.19%

Cambuur	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.55%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.19%	1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.26%