Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 77.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambuur in this match.