Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.