Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.