Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 19

Dec 15, 2023 at 7pm UK

Cars Jeans Stadion

ADO Den Haag
3 - 1
NAC Breda

Veerman (13'), van Mieghem (24', 43')
Siereveld (45+3'), Esajas (66'), Veerman (86'), Waem (90+3'), Werker (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kuijpers (8')
Kemper (42'), Boere (45+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between ADO Den Haag and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-1 Willem II
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 Oss
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	NAC Breda
43.38% ( -0.52)	23.52% ( 0.18)	33.1% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 62.36% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

-0.73)

39.34% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

-0.76)

61.67% (

0.76)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

-0.51)

18.5% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.28% (

-0.86)

49.71% (

0.86)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-0.15)

23.49% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48% (

-0.22)

57.51% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 43.38%

NAC Breda 33.1%

Draw 23.52%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.59% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.1%