Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	ADO Den Haag
25.41% ( 1.26)	24.09% ( 0.33)	50.5% ( -1.58)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.29)

46.58% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.27)

68.85% (

0.27)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

0.9)

32.41% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

68.92% (

-0.99)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-0.71)

18.48% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

-1.21)

49.68% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 25.41%

ADO Den Haag 50.5%

Draw 24.09%

Jong PSV	Draw	ADO Den Haag
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.41%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.5%