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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Sportpark Heimstetten
Union Berlin logo

Turkgucu Munchen
0 - 1
Union Berlin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kruse (23')
Andrich (25'), Knoche (52'), Khedira (77'), Ingvartsen (88')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Turkgucu Munchen and Union Berlin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Turkgucu Munchen had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Turkgucu Munchen win it was 1-0 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Turkgucu MunchenDrawUnion Berlin
9.11%16.25%74.64%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7%41.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3%63.69%
Turkgucu Munchen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82%50.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22%84.78%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52%9.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.19%31.8%
Score Analysis
    Turkgucu Munchen 9.11%
    Union Berlin 74.64%
    Draw 16.25%
Turkgucu MunchenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 3.28%
2-1 @ 2.66%
2-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 9.11%
1-1 @ 7.73%
0-0 @ 4.75%
2-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.25%
0-2 @ 13.2%
0-1 @ 11.2%
0-3 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.11%
1-3 @ 7.15%
0-4 @ 6.11%
1-4 @ 4.21%
0-5 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-5 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-6 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 74.64%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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