Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Randers would win this match.