Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0Cristal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
57.07% | 23.93% | 19% |
Both teams to score 47.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% | 52.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% | 74.37% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% | 18.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.61% | 49.39% |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.95% | 42.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.52% | 78.48% |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 57.06%
Sporting Cristal 19%
Draw 23.93%
Penarol | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
1-0 @ 13.07% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19% |
How you voted: Penarol vs Cristal
Penarol
81.3%Draw
12.5%Sporting Cristal
6.3%16
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2021 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Cristal
1-3
Penarol
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 06:01:47
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
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Slovakia
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Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
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Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
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Winner Match 37
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Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
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Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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