Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal2 - 1Arsenal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 41.1% | 22.24% | 36.66% |
| Both teams to score 68.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.41% | 53.59% |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% | 16.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.89% | 46.11% |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% | 18.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal 41.1%
Arsenal Sarandi 36.66%
Draw 22.24%
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.66% |
How you voted: Cristal vs Arsenal
Sporting Cristal
48.4%Draw
25.8%Arsenal Sarandi
25.8%31
