MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 10:01:51| >> :60:184:184:
Sporting Cristal
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Cristal
2 - 1
Arsenal

Hohberg (90' pen., 90+8')
Evair Loyola Morales (69'), Gonzales (79'), Percy Liza Espinoza (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mazzola (70')
Suso (90+1'), Castro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sporting Cristal and Arsenal Sarandi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawArsenal Sarandi
41.1%22.24%36.66%
Both teams to score 68.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.98%32.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.41%53.59%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56%16.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89%46.11%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69%18.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6%49.4%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 41.1%
    Arsenal Sarandi 36.66%
    Draw 22.24%
Sporting CristalDrawArsenal Sarandi
2-1 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 5.01%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 7.07%
0-0 @ 3.01%
3-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.04%
3-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.66%

How you voted: Cristal vs Arsenal

Sporting Cristal
48.4%
Draw
25.8%
Arsenal Sarandi
25.8%
31
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool65011221015
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3Arsenal6420125714
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5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
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11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
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