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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Félix Capriles

Wilstermann
1 - 2
Arsenal

Osorio (38' pen.)
Melean (32'), Alvarez (73'), Ortiz (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Albertengo (61'), Farioli (67')
Carabajal (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Jorge Wilstermann and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Jorge WilstermannDrawArsenal Sarandi
49.71%24.87%25.41%
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15%49.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.84%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7%52.3%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84%34.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15%70.84%
Score Analysis
    Jorge Wilstermann 49.71%
    Arsenal Sarandi 25.41%
    Draw 24.87%
Jorge WilstermannDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.71%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.36%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.41%

Head to Head
May 6, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Arsenal
3-0
Wilstermann
Albertengo (1'), Candia (84', 87')
Medina (77')

Echeverria (62'), Paredes (65')
rhs 2.0
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