Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huachipato would win this match.