Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia0 - 1Universitario
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Universitario.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 3-1 Gimnasia
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Cienciano
Friday, March 10 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, March 10 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Universitario |
46.61% ( 0.03) | 28.49% ( -0.01) | 24.9% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.84% ( 0.01) | 63.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.42% ( 0.01) | 82.58% ( -0) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.02) | 27.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( 0.03) | 62.7% ( -0.02) |
Universitario Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.99% ( -0.02) | 42.01% ( 0.02) |