Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 0Boca Juniors
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Boca Juniors |
41.67% | 26.12% | 32.21% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% | 51.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% | 73.18% |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% | 24.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% | 29.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.03% | 65.97% |
Score Analysis |
Santos 41.67%
Boca Juniors 32.21%
Draw 26.12%
Santos | Draw | Boca Juniors |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.21% |
How you voted: Santos vs Boca Juniors
Santos
50.0%Draw
22.7%Boca Juniors
27.3%22
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
2-0
Santos
Jan 13, 2021 10.15pm
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 14:51:46
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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