Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Huesca in this match.