Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4

Jun 17, 2022 at 9.30am UK

Meixian Tsang Hin-chi Stadium

Shenzhen
1 - 0
Cangzhou

Acheampong (6')
Zhang (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chen (34'), Shao (43'), Maritu (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Cangzhou Mighty Lions, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shenzhen 2-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions

Neither side were able to claim maximum points last time out, but they will both fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on Friday. However, we feel that the hosts will do just enough to claim a slender victory against the visitors, who have won only three of their last 18 away matches across all competitions, dating back to September 2020. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shenzhen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shenzhen.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
55.26% ( -1.03)	24.89% ( 0.18)	19.85% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

0.33)

55.28% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

0.27)

76.5% (

-0.27)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

-0.28)

19.97% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86% (

-0.45)

52.14% (

0.44)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

1.15)

42.57% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

0.97)

78.92% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 55.25%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 19.85%

Draw 24.88%

Shenzhen	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.25%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.85%