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Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
2 - 1
Beijing Guoan

Lin (57'), Mincheng (85')
Yuanyi (30'), Shinar (31'), Yongpo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wang (28')
Memisevic (40'), Yang (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cangzhou 1-2 Shenzhen
Thursday, July 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shenzhen 1-2 Beijing Guoan

While Shenzhen will be looking to build on their victory over Cangzhou Mighty Lions, next up is a rampant Beijing Guoan side who are unbeaten since the league's opening weekend. The Imperial Guards are unbeaten in nine straight games against the hosts and we are backing them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
39.57% (0.721 0.72) 26.36% (-0.137 -0.14) 34.07% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 52.76% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (0.49299999999999 0.49)51.93% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.425 0.43)73.67% (-0.423 -0.42)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (0.61999999999999 0.62)25.74% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (0.835 0.84)60.68% (-0.832 -0.83)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-0.124 -0.12)28.95% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.154 -0.15)64.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 39.57%
    Beijing Guoan 34.07%
    Draw 26.35%
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Shenzhen vs Beijing Guoan

Shenzhen
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Beijing Guoan
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2022 9.30am
Beijing Guoan
4-1
Shenzhen
Zhang (2', 60'), Dabao (52'), Ziming (88')
Wang (43'), Zou (47'), Memisevic (58')
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Shenzhen
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Yuan (32'), Zhou (54'), Shuai (61'), Yuanyi (79')
Cao (11')
Dec 22, 2021 10am
Beijing Guoan
2-2
Shenzhen
Silva (10'), Zhang (69')
Sen (81'), Li (90+2')
Pengxiang (19')
Kardec (62'), Yuanyi (89')
Yuan (20'), Lin (25')
Zhou (13')
Sep 13, 2019 12.35pm
Shenzhen
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Chao (15')
Sousa (3'), Yuanyi (21'), Ge (30')
Bakambu (74')
Zhongguo (3')
May 12, 2019 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Shenzhen
Bakambu (12', 19'), Augusto (62')

Peng (15'), Xin (24'), Yuan (48'), Wei (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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