Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2025 at 12pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford2 - 0Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Plymouth
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Watford 1-0 Luton Town
Winning just one of their 16 outings in the Championship this season, Luton are up against it as they travel down the M1 to Vicarage Road this weekend. Watford managed a standout success on Teesside last time out and should be confident of repeating the trick against their second-tier rivals on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Luton Town |
44.43% ( 1.31) | 26.78% ( -0.43) | 28.79% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( 1.23) | 55.29% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( 1) | 76.51% ( -0.99) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( 1.22) | 24.75% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.69% ( 1.67) | 59.32% ( -1.65) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( -0.02) | 34.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0.02) | 71.06% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 44.43%
Luton Town 28.79%
Draw 26.78%
| Watford | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.79% |
How you voted: Watford vs Luton
Watford
80.0%Draw
8.0%Luton Town
12.0%50
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
3-0
Watford
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
