MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 08:35:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
0 - 1
Millwall


Andersen (74'), Walsh (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ivanovic (61')
Saville (71'), Cooper (74'), Honeyman (88'), Tanganga (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Millwall

Both of these sides are still searching for their first league victory under their new managers, although Millwall's wait has been considerably longer. With Luton performing better in their home games this season, we think they can grab a much-needed win this weekend against the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
40.58% (0.172 0.17) 28.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 30.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.242 -0.24)61.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.178 -0.18)81.56% (0.181 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.85% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.302 -0.3)36.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.306 -0.31)73.21% (0.30699999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.58%
    Millwall 30.62%
    Draw 28.79%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
Draw
Millwall
Luton Town
57.5%
Draw
20.0%
Millwall
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Millwall
0-1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')
Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')
Apr 7, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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