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Championship | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Luton Town

Watford
1 - 0
Luton

Pedro (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

It was the first time the rivals had met since 2006.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLuton Town
48.29%25.23%26.47%
Both teams to score 52.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46%50.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54%72.46%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.69%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34%33.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69%70.31%
Score Analysis
    Watford 48.29%
    Luton Town 26.47%
    Draw 25.23%
WatfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
Jan 2, 2006 3pm
Luton
1-2
Watford
Edwards (49')
Foley (67')
Mackay (30'), Henderson (9')
Henderson (54'), Carlisle (81')
Young (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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