Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
37
We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Mainz 05
Leipzig have rarely been beaten at home, and it would be surprising if they lost on Saturday given their strong record at Red Bull Arena. However, after a midweek match in the DFB-Pokal, Mainz could be more energetic and will feel they can at least avoid defeat against their hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (5.95%).
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
55.2% ( 0.04) | 22.93% ( 0.19) | 21.88% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( -1.09) | 45.07% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( -1.06) | 67.41% ( 1.06) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( -0.37) | 16.19% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.68) | 45.68% ( 0.68) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.82) | 34.67% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.88) | 71.4% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 55.19%
Mainz 05 21.88%
Draw 22.92%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.88% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz
RB Leipzig
57.9%Draw
36.8%Mainz 05
5.3%38
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Mainz
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
