Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
4 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

With the absence of Timo Horn and Anthony Modeste being big misses for Koln in this one, it would have been easy to sway towards a Monchengladbach win here. However, Koln's unbeaten home record so far means we are predicting that they will still manage to pick up a point in the derby with the boost of the home crowd, as well as their ability to avoid defeats so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
42.07%	24.2%	33.72%

Both teams to score 60.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59%

42.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18%

64.81%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28%

52.72%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91%

59.08%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 42.08%

Borussia Monchengladbach 33.72%

Draw 24.2%

FC Koln	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.72%