Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hoffenheim in this match.