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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
46.16% | 23.39% | 30.45% |
Both teams to score 61.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% | 39.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% | 62.22% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% | 17.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.86% | 48.14% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.68% | 25.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.9% | 60.1% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.91% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |