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Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Metz logo

Brest
1 - 2
Metz

Faivre (68' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (46'), Mbock (71'), Chardonnet (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Preville (26'), Centonze (74')
Kouyate (40'), Centonze (82')

Preview: Brest vs. Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brest will host Metz on Sunday with both sides still searching for their first victory of the season.

Ahead of the weekend's fixtures, the home side currently sit in the relegation playoff place having only collected four points, while Metz are rooted to the bottom of the table and have only picked up three points this term.


Match preview

Brest manager Michel Der Zakarian pictured in August 2021© Reuters

Brest face another battle against the drop this campaign after they avoided the relegation playoff last season by a single point.

They are still yet to win this term and they suffered their third loss of the campaign on Wednesday when they travelled to Nantes.

Unfortunately for Les Pirates they were 3-0 down after 58 minutes and the only positive of the encounter was that Jeremy Le Douaron was able to get a consolation goal to restore some respectability to the scoreline.

Head coach Michel Der Zakarian took over in the summer and he will be aware that if he does not pick up his first victory soon, then his position may come under threat.

The area that Der Zakarian needs to improve is the Brest defence, which has shipped in 14 goals this season and they are yet to achieve a clean sheet this term.

A positive for the hosts is that they have shown quality in the final third and have scored in every match this season and they will be confident of extending that run on Sunday when they face a side a point worse off than themselves.

Metz manager Frederic Antonetti pictured in April 2021© Reuters

Metz are bottom heading into the weekend and have work to do if they are to replicate last season's mid-table finish as they are yet to collect three points this term.

Their season got off to a steady start as they drew three of their first four Ligue 1 games, however they then experienced three successive defeats, which means they enter the fixture low on confidence.

Although, they can take positives from their 2-1 defeat at home to Paris Saint-Germain during the week, as PSG required a stoppage-time winner from Achraf Hakimi after Boubakar Kouyate had cancelled out Hakimi's opener.

Like Sunday's opponents, Metz have struggled to keep the ball out of their net, conceding 15 times across their opening seven fixtures and another worry for head coach Frederic Antonetti is his side have scored just once in their last three matches.

A crumb of comfort for Metz is that they were victorious on their last visit to Brest, winning a thrilling encounter 4-2 and a similar result at the weekend would give the visitors their first victory of the season

Brest Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Metz Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Brest's Irvin Cardona and Haris Belkebla in action in February 2021© Reuters

Brest will be without Jere Uronen and Romain Del Castillo, who have ankle and groin problems respectively.

Der Zakarian is also still without Paul Lasne, Christophe Herelle and Sebastien Cibois, who are all out injured.

Steve Mounie returned from injury during the week to feature as a second-half substitute against Nantes and the 26-year-old is likely to come into the starting lineup for Sunday.

Metz are without the injured duo of Kevin N'Doram and Thomas Delaine.

Dylan Bronn was sent off against PSG after collecting two yellow cards in the second half.

That suspension means that Antonetti could bring Sikou Niakate in to start the game on Sunday.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Brassier, Duverne; Belkebla, Agoume, Faivre; Honorat, Cardona, Mounie

Metz possible starting lineup:
Oukidja; Niakate, Kouyate, Udol; Centonze, Sarr, Pajot, Maiga, Yade; Gueye, Niane


SM words green background

We say: Brest 3-2 Metz

Both sides have found defending difficult this term and that could mean goals galore in this contest and we think with home advantage Brest should win this one against a side who have lost their last three games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brest vs Metz

Brest
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Metz
4.2%
24
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Tables header RHS
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1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
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7Reims115241915417
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9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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